Covid deaths in Nevada on track to more than triple by December under current conditions

dot
A social distancing marker as seen at MGM Hotel and Casino on the Las Vegas Strip in June. (Photo: Daniel Clark)
dot
A social distancing marker as seen at MGM Hotel and Casino on the Las Vegas Strip in June. (Photo: Daniel Clark)

Deaths from Covid-19 are projected to more than triple in Nevada by December 1 under current conditions mandated by the state, according to a new calculation from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), an independent population health research center at the University of Washington.  The facility’s projections are a key metric relied on by the White House.  

With current mandates in place for social distancing and masks, IHME projects 3,152 Nevadans will have died of the disease by December 1. Since March, 920 deaths have been attributed to covid in the state. In April, the IHME predicted Nevada would suffer 800 deaths from the pandemic by August.  

The new projection says the number of deaths could be slashed by almost a third if 95 percent of people wore masks whenever in public, with the mandate being reissued if daily deaths reach 8 per one million population.    

Without social distancing and mask mandates continuing, the IHME projects Covid-19 will take some 4,831 lives in Nevada by December 1.  

Since the beginning of the pandemic, 160,000 deaths in America have been attributed to the pandemic. The IHME projects the United States will suffer 295,000 deaths by December 1 if current conditions are observed.  That number could be reduced to 228,271 with universal mask mandates in place, and could soar to 386,750 if social distancing and mask mandates currently in place are relaxed. 

Not all models paint as bleak a picture as the IHME. A comparison of a variety of scearios can be found on the Centers for Disease Control’s website.

 

Dana Gentry
Reporter | Dana Gentry is a native Las Vegan and award-winning investigative journalist. She is a graduate of Bishop Gorman High School and holds a Bachelor's degree in Communications from the University of Nevada, Las Vegas. Gentry began her career in broadcasting as an intern at Channel 8, KLAS-TV. She later became a reporter at Channel 8, working with Las Vegas TV news legends Bob Stoldal and the late Ned Day. Gentry left her reporting job in 1985 to focus on motherhood. She returned to TV news in 2001 to launch "Face to Face with Jon Ralston" and the weekly business programs In Business Las Vegas and Vegas Inc, which she co-anchored with Jeff Gillan. Dana has four adult children, a grandson, three dogs, three cats and a cockatoo named Casper.