Map forecasting the House Race by FiveThirtyEight (Courtesy: FiveThirstyEight)
A FiveThirtyEight analysis of polls gives Democrats a 75 percent chance of winning control the U.S. House, and gives Susie Lee, the Democratic nominee for the open seat in Nevada’s Third Congressional District, a 66.9 percent chance of defeating her Republican opponent Danny Tarkanian.
The battle for Nevada’s third district has remained contentious since Tarkanian delivered a cease and desist letter to Lee’s campaign office requesting her and her campaign retract statements about his past business dealings after she set up a website blasting Tarkanian for helping set up telemarketing companies, which were later convicted of fraud.
In Nevada’s Fourth Congressional District, the FiveThirtyEight analysis gives Democrat Steven Horsford a 78.5 percent chance of winning. In 2014, a year when Democrats were crushed in Nevada, Horsford was defeated by Republican Cresent Hardy after serving just one term.
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