Undercurrent

FiveThirtyEight likes Democratic chances in Nevada House seats

By: - August 16, 2018 4:59 pm
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Map forecasting the House Race by FiveThirtyEight (Courtesy: FiveThirstyEight)

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Map forecasting the House Race by FiveThirtyEight (Courtesy: FiveThirstyEight)

A FiveThirtyEight analysis of polls gives Democrats a 75 percent chance of winning control the U.S. House, and gives Susie Lee, the Democratic nominee for the open seat in Nevada’s Third Congressional District, a 66.9 percent chance of defeating her Republican opponent Danny Tarkanian.

The battle for Nevada’s third district has remained contentious since Tarkanian delivered a cease and desist letter to Lee’s campaign office requesting her and her campaign retract statements about his past business dealings after she set up a website blasting Tarkanian for helping set up telemarketing companies, which were later convicted of fraud.

In Nevada’s Fourth Congressional District, the FiveThirtyEight analysis gives Democrat Steven Horsford a 78.5 percent chance of winning. In 2014, a year when Democrats were crushed in Nevada, Horsford was defeated by Republican Cresent Hardy after serving just one term.

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Jeniffer Solis
Jeniffer Solis

Reporter | Jeniffer was born and raised in Las Vegas, Nevada where she attended the University of Nevada, Las Vegas before graduating in 2017 with a B.A in Journalism and Media Studies. While at UNLV she was a senior staff writer for the student newspaper, the UNLV Scarlet and Gray Free Press, and a news reporter for KUNV 91.5 FM, covering everything from the Route 91 shooting to UNLV housing. She has also contributed to the UNLV News Center and worked as a production engineer for several KUNV broadcasts before joining the Nevada Current. She’s an Aries.

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